Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000788 0.000899 0.001017 0.001151 0.001297 0.001454 0.001632
2025-02-02 0.000626 0.000783 0.000960 0.001174 0.001423 0.001703 0.002039
2025-02-09 0.000520 0.000693 0.000897 0.001154 0.001465 0.001826 0.002273
2025-02-16 0.000437 0.000617 0.000840 0.001130 0.001494 0.001928 0.002481
2025-02-23 0.000388 0.000576 0.000818 0.001143 0.001561 0.002073 0.002738
2025-03-02 0.000346 0.000540 0.000796 0.001152 0.001620 0.002205 0.002980
2025-03-09 0.000296 0.000486 0.000747 0.001119 0.001621 0.002262 0.003126
2025-03-16 0.000254 0.000439 0.000701 0.001086 0.001617 0.002309 0.003258
2025-03-23 0.000228 0.000411 0.000680 0.001083 0.001653 0.002407 0.003456
2025-03-30 0.000205 0.000387 0.000661 0.001083 0.001690 0.002506 0.003656
2025-04-06 0.000183 0.000361 0.000638 0.001073 0.001711 0.002583 0.003827
2025-04-13 0.000161 0.000333 0.000609 0.001053 0.001717 0.002637 0.003968
2025-04-20 0.000150 0.000324 0.000609 0.001076 0.001787 0.002783 0.004240
2025-04-27 0.000139 0.000313 0.000605 0.001095 0.001850 0.002921 0.004503
2025-05-04 0.000123 0.000290 0.000580 0.001077 0.001857 0.002979 0.004655
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000267 0.000553 0.001054 0.001854 0.003023 0.004786
2025-05-18 0.000100 0.000258 0.000548 0.001066 0.001906 0.003145 0.005032
2025-05-25 0.000092 0.000247 0.000541 0.001074 0.001951 0.003257 0.005264
2025-06-01 0.000079 0.000226 0.000512 0.001043 0.001932 0.003275 0.005360
2025-06-08 0.000068 0.000206 0.000483 0.001012 0.001911 0.003288 0.005447
2025-06-15 0.000062 0.000195 0.000472 0.001010 0.001937 0.003371 0.005639
2025-06-22 0.000056 0.000186 0.000462 0.001009 0.001965 0.003459 0.005839
2025-06-29 0.000050 0.000174 0.000448 0.001000 0.001977 0.003521 0.006001